Users with a cost of $25955-$28250 on Onchain seem to be making high losses. The profits of users with a cost of $23595-$25145 has decreased. The larger the red spheres and the smaller the green spheres, the higher the chance of ascension. The larger the green spheres and the smaller the red spheres, the higher the probability of a drop. The level ranges where the spheres are located can work as strong support or strong resistance. Bitcoin seems to be close to the reaction bullish in the short term.
ASOPR data mostly showed a performance of 1 level and above in bull seasons and 1 level and below in bear seasons. In Bitcoin bull season, this data should hold above 1 level. The current look looks dangerous because there have been big drops after such looks in the past.
Bitcoin has experienced a rise after its movement between the green and blue bands in the past, and then it rose up to the orange band. There is no certainty, but if the current price action is the same, today’s orange resistance is $48455. The support band price is $20189.
According to the data in this chart, Bitcoin moved to orange after holding on to the burgundy and purple bands. As the orange band held on, the bull season was experienced and progress to the turquoise band was seen. Today’s orange band support is $20189. This value also refers to the real value of Bitcoin as the “Realized Price”.
According to the Active Address Sentiment Indicator chart, Bitcoin is struggling to break through the middle band resistance, with the weak progress in price action suggesting that it may seek lower main support. We will be following the main support in price drops.
In the past, Bitcoin experienced very sharp drops when it broke the 111D MA support. As we said in the previous analysis, the breaking of that support and the failure to regain it heralded the sharp declines. Bitcoin must regain the $26890 resistance permanently in order to experience nice rises.
The level that Bitcoin must hold to maintain its bullish structure was $26105. When Bitcoin lost this strong support, decline got deeper. Bitcoin must regain the $26105 resistance permanently in order to experience nice rises. It is expected to exceed the $40344 level in order to make even more sharp rises. If there is a deep bear season again, the level to watch is now $13052.
NVT Golden Cross indicator advanced to the main support zone as the decline deepens. We can’t say for sure how long it will stay in this region, but strong supports close to the price must be followed.
You can check out our Onchain Data and Explanations article.
Onchain analysis consist of data from blockchain markets, and only reflects bitcoin inflows and outflows to exchanges. These may be interpret both positive or negative, but does not include a certain market outlook whether bullish or bearish. All analysis shared above is for educational purposes, this post does not include any financial advice.